- Informed Wager
- Posts
- Run Saquon Run + Mahomes' Ref Problem
Run Saquon Run + Mahomes' Ref Problem
Big bonuses, referee trouble, and a third rematch between Jayden and the Eagles
šāāļø Run Saquon Run!
DraftKings is giving away $2 million in bonus bets for picking the longest touchdown scorer of the day. Letās figure out whoās got the best shot at breaking off a monster play. Hereās the lineup of the top long TD scorers on each team this year:
Name | 40+ yard TDs | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|---|
Saquon Barkley | 6 | -240 |
James Cook | 4 | +120 |
Terry McLaurin | 2 | +135 |
Xavier Worthy | 1 | +190 |
Saquonās been unstoppable when it comes to ripping off huge plays, heās got 6 on the season and is a heavy touchdown favorite. James Cook isnāt far behind, and letās not count out Terry for sneaky value, especially with Jayden Daniels heating up.
š” The Refs Love Mahomesā¦ Or Do They?
Yes, Mahomes has a legendary record under referee Clay Martin (7-0, including that infamous game against Houston). But the upcoming matchup is under Clete Blakemanāand the story flips dramatically:
Mahomes when Clete Blakeman is ref: 6-5
Mahomes when anyone else is ref: 98-21
Blakeman is a flag-happy official, averaging 25% more penalties than the leagueās refereeing standard. His tendency to slow the game down could spell trouble for Mahomes and the Chiefsā high-octane offense.
š” Air It Out, Jayden!
Jayden Daniels has already taken on the Eagles twice this season, and the improvement between games was wild. Check this out:
Game 1 (11/14): 191 passing yards, 18 rushing yards, 1 TD
Game 2 (12/22): 258 passing yards, 81 rushing yards, 5 TDs
Not only is Daniels ranked 6th in QB rating against the Eagles this year, but his 81 rushing yards in Game 2 is better than any QB performance against Phillyāincluding Lamar Jackson.