Run Saquon Run + Mahomes' Ref Problem

Big bonuses, referee trouble, and a third rematch between Jayden and the Eagles

January 25, 2025

🏃‍♂️ Run Saquon Run!

DraftKings is giving away $2 million in bonus bets for picking the longest touchdown scorer of the day. Let’s figure out who’s got the best shot at breaking off a monster play. Here’s the lineup of the top long TD scorers on each team this year:

Name

40+ yard TDs

Anytime TD Odds

Saquon Barkley

6

-240

James Cook

4

+120

Terry McLaurin

2

+135

Xavier Worthy

1

+190

Saquon’s been unstoppable when it comes to ripping off huge plays, he’s got 6 on the season and is a heavy touchdown favorite. James Cook isn’t far behind, and let’s not count out Terry for sneaky value, especially with Jayden Daniels heating up.

🟡 The Refs Love Mahomes… Or Do They?

Yes, Mahomes has a legendary record under referee Clay Martin (7-0, including that infamous game against Houston). But the upcoming matchup is under Clete Blakeman—and the story flips dramatically:

  • Mahomes when Clete Blakeman is ref: 6-5

  • Mahomes when anyone else is ref: 98-21

Blakeman is a flag-happy official, averaging 25% more penalties than the league’s refereeing standard. His tendency to slow the game down could spell trouble for Mahomes and the Chiefs’ high-octane offense.

📡 Air It Out, Jayden!

Jayden Daniels has already taken on the Eagles twice this season, and the improvement between games was wild. Check this out:

  • Game 1 (11/14): 191 passing yards, 18 rushing yards, 1 TD

  • Game 2 (12/22): 258 passing yards, 81 rushing yards, 5 TDs

Not only is Daniels ranked 6th in QB rating against the Eagles this year, but his 81 rushing yards in Game 2 is better than any QB performance against Philly—including Lamar Jackson.